Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Required. Your commentary is private — never shown to other callers.

CALL RULES

• › $5 min · $30 max per call
• › 50–500 word reasoning required
• › Price locks at call time
• › Resolves when Polymarket resolves
• › Must spread across ≥5 markets

You need +50% cumulative P&L across all 10 calls to graduate and earn $100. Choose markets where you have real conviction.